France ends ugly campaign and draws breath before historic vote
France’s hasty and at times turbulent election campaign has concluded, marked by impassioned appeals from political figures ahead of Sunday’s crucial vote.
Centrist Prime Minister Gabriel Attal cautioned on Friday evening that a far-right government would “fuel hatred and unrest.”
Meanwhile, National Rally leader Jordan Bardella accused opponents of unethical, undemocratic conduct, urging voters to rally behind him for a decisive mandate.
In the initial parliamentary elections last Sunday, one in three French voters supported the National Rally (RN).
Now, voters face a critical choice: either France’s first far-right government in modern history or a political deadlock, both scenarios fraught with uncertainty.
Tensions are so high that an additional 30,000 police officers have been deployed.
Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin reported 51 incidents of physical assaults on candidates, their deputies, or party members, by individuals of various backgrounds expressing spontaneous anger.
In a particularly alarming incident, an extremist group released a list targeting nearly 100 lawyers who had signed a public statement against the National Rally.
President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to call these elections less than a month ago caught many by surprise, adding to the unpredictability of the outcome.
Conversations with voters reflect palpable anxiety about the election’s implications.
For Kaltoun, who lives near the Belgian border where the RN won in the first round, the atmosphere has become increasingly tense. “It’s remarks or looks; with each election, it’s gotten worse,” she says.
In Tourcoing, Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin faces a tough challenge to retain his seat against a strong far-right contender who trailed him by just 800 votes in the first round.
This dynamic prompted left-wing candidate Leslie Mortreux to withdraw from the runoff, aiming to bolster Darmanin’s chances against the RN.
In the upcoming runoff votes for 500 seats, 217 candidates from the left-wing New Popular Front and Macron’s Ensemble alliance have withdrawn to prevent RN victories. Although some three-way races persist, 409 seats will now be decided in direct contests.
Following the first round, some polls suggested that the RN could potentially secure a majority in the National Assembly.
The final polls of the campaign suggest that is no longer on the cards. Even if RN boss Marine Le Pen believes they still have a “serious chance” of winning the 289 seats they need to control the Assembly, the pollsters say about 200 is a more realistic figure.
One major poll that came out hours before the end of the campaign suggested that the awkward series of withdrawals by third-placed left-wing and centrist candidates had succeeded in scuppering the hopes of National Rally boss Marine Le Pen’s protege of becoming prime minister aged 28.
“We are presiding over the birth of a single Mélenchon-Macron party,” Jordan Bardella complained. “And this dishonorable alliance has been formed with the single goal of keeping us from winning.”
The Popular Front is made up of Socialists, Greens and Communists, but its biggest party is France Unbowed, led by radical firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
He is widely condemned by his rivals as an extremist, and he is certainly no ally of President Emmanuel Macron.
Despite their agreement to keep out the far right, there is no love lost between the two camps.
“You don’t beat the far right with the far left,” the interior minister said, even though a France Unbowed candidate had pulled out to help him win.
The Macron centrists are third in the polls, well behind the Popular Front as well as the National Rally.
“In France we’re fed up with Macron, and I’m more in the centre” said Marc in Tourcoing. “The cost of living is bad, and the rich have become richer and the poor are poorer.”
National Rally has focused its campaign on media appearances by Mr Bardella and Marine Le Pen, and there have been claims of “phantom candidates” barely showing up in some areas.
When one candidate in the city of Orléans, Élodie Babin, qualified for the second round with little attempt at campaigning she later insisted she had been ill for 10 days.
RN is especially popular in rural areas.
In Mennecy, a sleepy town in the Essonne area south of Paris, Mathieu Hillaire was holding his final campaign event as Popular Front candidate. He is in a duel with RN candidate Nathalie Da Conceicao Carvalho, after the pro-Macron candidate pulled out to give her left-wing rival a better chance of blocking the far right.
Mr Hillaire said while the climate was less tense locally than elsewhere some people were still worried: “Of the voters that I’ve met, there are many who are scared of Jordan Bardella.”
Many of RN’s policies focus on cutting the cost of living and tackling law and order, but their anti-immigration plans have raised particular concerns.
RN aims to give French citizens “national preference” over immigrants for jobs and housing, and wants to abolish the right to automatic French citizenship for children of foreign parents, if those children have spent five years in France from the age of 11 to 18.
Dual citizens would also be barred from dozens of sensitive jobs.
Prime Minister Gabriel Attal spoke of an “uncertainty and worry” among the French people.
He said in the first round his party had averted the risk of Jean-Luc Mélenchon winning a majority. Now the risk came from a far right whose policies would “unleash hatred and violence with a plan to stigmatise some of our fellow citizens” and be catastrophic for the French economy.
But what happens on Sunday night if there is deadlock, and no obvious way forward towards forming a government?
The Olympic Games are now only 20 days away, and there is a suggestion that France might have no government or prime minister when it hosts such a high-profile global event.
Mr Attal, who had earlier suggested his minority government might stay in place “as long as necessary”, was far more vague on Friday night.
“Next week I don’t know what I’ll be doing, where’ll I’ll be doing it,” he said. “But I know who I’ll be doing it for: the people of France, that’s all that counts for me.”
